Monstredu38
0xcba1e3e7b995c2cb0a40269f6c541b739134b4e2
- Realised P&L
- $-83.33
- Volume
- $237.1k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $45.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.68at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?
- +$30.68at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?
- +$20.45at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 8?
- +$18.73at 0.370Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$17.21at 0.560Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.29 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.99 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.94 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.34 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.45 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.21 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.58 |
| 08-03 15:39 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 00:40 | Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.11 |
| 08-03 00:40 | Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.77 |