Monstredu38
0xcba1e3e7b995c2cb0a40269f6c541b739134b4e2
- Realised P&L
- $-111.86
- Volume
- $320.7k
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $34.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.68at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?
- +$30.68at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?
- +$20.45at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 8?
- +$18.07at 0.377Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$16.26at 0.572Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:22 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 09-09 22:06 | Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.30 |
| 08-31 15:35 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.39 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.23 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.29 |
| 08-30 19:55 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.99 |
| 08-30 15:12 | Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? | SELL | 0.0027308201 | $0.17 |
| 08-26 00:01 | Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 08-25 22:01 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.01 |
| 08-25 22:01 | Will Henrik Rydström win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.16 |