addi444
0xba819b1e5620ea68ad99864720aa084440727ffe
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $574.8k
- Markets traded
- 5,245
- Open portfolio
- $239.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,245
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$510.32at 0.001Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$298.84at 0.001Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- +$294.03at 0.002Will MrBeast's video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
- +$234.55at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C or higher on April 27?
- +$191.10at 0.010Set 1 Winner: Guo vs Cherubini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:17 | Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will FC Barcelona qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Real Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 09-15 19:17 | Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka | SELL | 0.15 | $0.16 |
| 09-15 15:53 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.19 |
| 09-15 13:16 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 22:54 | Will Catherine O'Hara rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.59 |
| 09-13 18:15 | De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-13 05:59 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.65 |
| 09-11 08:08 | M25 Sintra: Patrick Schoen vs Miguel Semedo | SELL | 0.05 | $0.38 |
| 09-11 06:10 | Spread: North Carolina (-14.5) | SELL | 0.05 | $0.29 |
| 09-11 03:58 | Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 09-08 21:25 | Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.24 |
| 09-04 21:16 | Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 09-04 10:18 | Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.33 |