Retarts
0x79cf0f26f60d307a769483ad19866a905cff105a
- Realised P&L
- $413.59
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.85at 0.526Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
- +$26.63at 0.941Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$19.00at 0.520Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
- +$13.70at 0.951Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.53at 0.950No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:04 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 08-01 20:04 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.15 |
| 08-01 20:04 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 08-01 04:18 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.46 |
| 07-31 10:18 | Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.67 |
| 07-31 10:17 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.37 | $39.23 |
| 07-31 10:17 | Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.37 | $22.97 |
| 07-28 05:50 | Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 07-24 12:52 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 07-24 09:07 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.31 | $26.97 |
| 07-24 08:58 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 07-24 08:58 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.29 | $43.50 |
| 07-24 08:58 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.59 | $177.00 |
| 07-24 08:55 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 07-24 08:54 | Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.66 | $213.23 |