PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Retarts

0x79cf0f26f60d307a769483ad19866a905cff105a

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$29.8k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? · No0.8170.865$252.03+$14.11
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.9030.931$132.20+$3.91
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4520.490$121.31+$9.34
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4140.470$99.85+$11.91
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.3720.455$66.25+$12.13
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.2140.185$58.30$9.18
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No0.7800.745$52.15$2.45
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3640.450$41.74+$8.01
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3400.370$30.83+$2.47
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? · Yes0.2870.220$28.53$8.68
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4920.445$26.42$2.77
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? · Yes0.2050.205$23.37+$0.01
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.3750.570$22.80+$7.80
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.8900.999$17.09+$1.86
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.8800.790$15.80$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:59Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.45$18.00
09-13 23:14Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?BUY0.74$29.60
09-11 01:37Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.38$15.20
09-11 01:18Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.62$18.87
09-09 04:20Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?SELL0.48$4.61
09-07 09:38Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.0211666806$2.54
09-06 22:36Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.37$33.95
09-06 21:45Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?BUY0.25$12.50
09-06 21:21Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.5347522727$47.06
09-06 11:04Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?BUY0.83$16.60
09-06 09:57Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?BUY0.22$8.80
09-06 04:31Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?BUY0.84$8.40
09-05 21:47Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?SELL0.785$32.88
09-05 21:44Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.4342612235$281.68
09-02 10:26Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.45$9.00