Retarts
0x79cf0f26f60d307a769483ad19866a905cff105a
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.97at 0.758Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
- +$29.94at 0.457Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
- +$26.63at 0.941Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$26.18at 0.434Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
- +$18.59at 0.530Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:59 | Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 09-13 23:14 | Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 09-11 01:37 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.20 |
| 09-11 01:18 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $18.87 |
| 09-09 04:20 | Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.61 |
| 09-07 09:38 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.0211666806 | $2.54 |
| 09-06 22:36 | Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.37 | $33.95 |
| 09-06 21:45 | Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-06 21:21 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.5347522727 | $47.06 |
| 09-06 11:04 | Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-06 09:57 | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 09-06 04:31 | Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-05 21:47 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | SELL | 0.785 | $32.88 |
| 09-05 21:44 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | SELL | 0.4342612235 | $281.68 |
| 09-02 10:26 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |