PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Retarts

0x79cf0f26f60d307a769483ad19866a905cff105a

Realised P&L
$413.59
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? · No0.7510.880$379.78+$55.73
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.5900.590$236.00+$0.00
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3080.400$214.32+$49.47
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.5440.545$65.67+$0.10
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.3900.400$43.23+$1.10
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.3730.395$36.24+$2.00
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.2460.235$35.53$1.71
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3300.315$25.18$1.20
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? · Yes0.3210.325$21.01+$0.23
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.8900.985$16.85+$1.62
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3700.315$16.52$2.89
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.5700.580$11.60+$0.20
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? · Yes0.1570.195$9.94+$1.92
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.4350.395$8.89$0.91
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF? · Yes0.0070.011$6.63+$2.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:04Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?BUY0.86$25.80
08-01 20:04Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?BUY0.86$6.15
08-01 20:04Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?BUY0.86$34.40
08-01 04:18Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?SELL0.93$20.46
07-31 10:18Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.38$3.67
07-31 10:17Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.37$39.23
07-31 10:17Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.37$22.97
07-28 05:50Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.55$27.50
07-24 12:52Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.35$10.50
07-24 09:07Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.31$26.97
07-24 08:58Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.59$59.00
07-24 08:58Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.29$43.50
07-24 08:58Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.59$177.00
07-24 08:55Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.28$56.00
07-24 08:54Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.66$213.23