Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.521. down 0.036 over the period, from 0.557. Range 0.333 to 0.574. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.522	220	220
0.523	27	247
0.524	42	289
0.530	20	309
0.532	20	329
0.540	52	381
0.603	85	466
0.604	25	491
0.612	5	496
0.736	150	646
0.737	7	653
0.739	900	1,553

Spread0.001Mid0.522

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.521	227	227
0.519	22	249
0.518	20	269
0.516	71	340
0.511	120	460
0.450	7	468
0.341	20	488
0.340	883	1,371
0.307	100	1,471
0.277	30	1,501
0.252	50	1,551
0.202	30	1,581

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.479	227	227
0.481	22	249
0.482	20	269
0.484	71	340
0.489	120	460
0.550	7	468
0.659	20	488
0.660	883	1,371
0.693	100	1,471
0.723	30	1,501
0.748	50	1,551
0.798	30	1,581

Spread0.001Mid0.478

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.478	220	220
0.477	27	247
0.476	42	289
0.470	20	309
0.468	20	329
0.460	52	381
0.397	85	466
0.396	25	491
0.388	5	496
0.264	150	646
0.263	7	653
0.261	900	1,553

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
InterestingUser	Yes	7,441.03
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	373.12
FollowedByParasites	Yes	307.37
tryrktry	Yes	160
tradetosurvive1	Yes	146.35
varch01	Yes	99.99
wert4	Yes	82.86
PolyJaguar	Yes	80
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	50.14
balabalababalabala	Yes	50
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900	Yes	40
Mithrandir.	Yes	40
hdjdjdjhshh	Yes	35
LornaPredicts	Yes	27.4
FlightMind	Yes	25
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	25
claudemole	Yes	23.55
a5533	Yes	21.19
monoclith	Yes	20.6
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	20.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:35:01	BUY	No	0.4789999576	7	$3.50
19:17:55	SELL	Yes	0.521	20	$10.42
18:33:18	SELL	Yes	0.521	20	$10.42
18:02:51	SELL	Yes	0.521	20	$10.42
18:02:48	BUY	No	0.479	34	$16.29
17:12:03	SELL	No	0.466	5	$2.33
17:10:54	BUY	Yes	0.524	5	$2.62
17:10:52	SELL	No	0.466	5	$2.33
17:10:51	BUY	Yes	0.524	5	$2.62
17:03:28	BUY	Yes	0.534	23	$12.28
13:35:37	SELL	No	0.357	20	$7.14
13:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.4400660066	303	$133.34
17:50:09	SELL	No	0.57	0	$0.01
17:47:13	SELL	No	0.571	20	$11.42
17:47:12	SELL	No	0.571	1	$0.57
17:47:06	SELL	No	0.57	146	$83.29
17:07:09	SELL	No	0.542	38	$20.74
13:08:52	BUY	Yes	0.405	20	$8.10
12:37:46	BUY	No	0.643	20	$12.86
10:42:24	SELL	Yes	0.342	13	$4.53
21:27:49	SELL	Yes	0.352	3	$1.21
21:27:46	SELL	Yes	0.352	3	$1.21
21:27:39	BUY	No	0.6471716159	20	$13.00
06:02:55	BUY	Yes	0.416	5	$2.08
03:32:21	BUY	No	0.5740224778	38	$21.96