PolyJaguar
0xc18b10a8d864d1d2ef71a58259eb810d52173917
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $1.55M
- Markets traded
- 1,070
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,070
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.998Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$723.64at 0.545MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$681.07at 0.634Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0014 by December 31, 2026?
- +$363.70at 0.385Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$325.65at 0.002Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:44 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.95 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $21.70 |
| 10-30 04:24 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0751962148 | $15.14 |
| 10-30 03:23 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $38.50 |
| 10-26 16:19 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.80 |
| 10-25 02:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.048 | $11.40 |
| 10-24 16:31 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.80 |
| 10-21 02:20 | Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2305554286 | $40.35 |
| 10-16 02:09 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.28 |
| 10-11 02:35 | Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027? | SELL | 0.1086571429 | $2.28 |
| 10-10 11:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0431146865 | $9.62 |
| 10-10 11:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0355374658 | $7.93 |
| 10-08 06:17 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.911 | $2.59 |
| 10-07 12:40 | US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.88 |
| 10-07 12:40 | US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.52 |