PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.24 to 0.42. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.348080
0.35196276
0.4084360
0.41100460
0.4418478
0.4540518
0.51100618
0.7620638
0.7750688
0.7864752
0.79176928
0.807381,665

Spread0.01Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3355
0.313035
0.30139174
0.2918192
0.2881273
0.2429302
0.2350352
0.2235387
0.2156443
0.1950493
0.1855548
0.1620568

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6755
0.693035
0.70139174
0.7118192
0.7281273
0.7629302
0.7750352
0.7835387
0.7956443
0.8150493
0.8255548
0.8420568

Spread0.01Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.668080
0.65196276
0.6084360
0.59100460
0.5618478
0.5540518
0.49100618
0.2420638
0.2350688
0.2264752
0.21176928
0.207381,665

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pragmat1smYes1,176.41
folioquantYes1,071.6
BAO95889Yes312.99
tradetosurvive1Yes294.1
SlayerHYes100
SuperTestsYes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes99.72
LashibucapiguyonghandYes88.46
AJSVYes82.1
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes80
TradingBearYes80
gfdgfvfvssddYes60
Zed97Yes50
HerrieDavisYes49.69
0x888888888Yes40.01
GuyFromTinderYes39.2
0x20C7A653e5C8Ef2E9d69F9CE5EA6522BaC29A768-1769581814148Yes37.1
alphazero0Yes22.58
kaoqeYes21.55
V4grantYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:38:31SELLNo0.6708940$26.84
16:17:42BUYYes0.30999994733$1.00
16:17:40BUYYes0.3180$24.80
15:03:37SELLYes0.380$0.03
15:03:36SELLYes0.3840$15.20
14:43:24SELLYes0.380$0.03
14:43:22SELLYes0.3840$15.20
14:13:21SELLYes0.380$0.03
14:13:19SELLYes0.3840$15.20
13:37:51BUYYes0.380$24.00
13:12:49BUYYes0.380$24.00
13:07:16BUYYes0.340$12.00
13:05:46SELLYes0.331$0.18
13:05:45SELLYes0.3447782655132$45.56
13:01:24SELLYes0.380$0.06
13:01:22SELLYes0.3740$14.80
10:44:00SELLYes0.380$0.06
10:43:58SELLYes0.3740$14.80
10:12:09BUYNo0.625$3.12
08:33:50BUYYes0.2940$11.60
08:18:18BUYYes0.2940$11.60
07:56:16BUYYes0.2940$11.60
07:44:13BUYYes0.350$15.00
07:41:23BUYYes0.315$1.62
07:40:43SELLYes0.361$0.25