PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kaoqe

0xc80a0dd3d509601c4a19ab071ba77ebd7384697a

Realised P&L
$-12.32
Volume
$34.13
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$7.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-36.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.4170.325$7.00$2.00
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7600.510$0.67$0.33
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No0.8880.000$0.00$10.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 19:24Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.4975609556$4.00
09-03 19:56Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
09-03 19:46Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-03 19:40Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.8879999219$10.00