kaoqe
0xc80a0dd3d509601c4a19ab071ba77ebd7384697a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.32
- Volume
- $34.13
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $7.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-36.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.325 | $7.00 | −$2.00 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.510 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.888 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 19:24 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.4975609556 | $4.00 |
| 09-03 19:56 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 19:46 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 19:40 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8879999219 | $10.00 |