0x20C7A653e5C8Ef2E9d69F9CE5EA6522BaC29A768-1769581814148
0x20c7a653e5c8ef2e9d69f9ce5ea6522bac29a768
- Realised P&L
- $-31.34
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $17.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.325 | $12.06 | +$4.64 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No | 0.820 | 0.945 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.64 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.33 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.28 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers · Seattle Mariners | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.28at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET
- +$1.94at 0.830Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.844Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET
- +$1.49at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET
- +$1.30at 0.869Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 13:23 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.42 |
| 07-25 13:23 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 12:05 | Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0899999287 | $1.06 |
| 07-24 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $6.15 |
| 07-12 08:52 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.42 |
| 07-09 16:56 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.95 |
| 07-09 03:54 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.4299999583 | $5.26 |
| 07-06 19:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.8899999984 | $5.51 |
| 07-06 09:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of July 6 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.74 |
| 07-06 02:49 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $6.30 |
| 07-05 05:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.958 | $4.98 |
| 07-05 03:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.99 |
| 07-05 01:28 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.975 | $3.42 |
| 07-05 01:23 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.93 |
| 07-03 05:11 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9639999966 | $3.39 |