Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.062 | 84 | 84 |
| 0.068 | 121 | 205 |
| 0.070 | 80 | 285 |
| 0.201 | 60 | 345 |
| 0.291 | 20 | 365 |
| 0.590 | 483 | 848 |
| 0.840 | 6 | 854 |
| 0.890 | 9 | 864 |
| 0.929 | 8 | 872 |
| 0.930 | 14 | 886 |
| 0.960 | 25 | 911 |
| 0.979 | 6 | 917 |
Spread0.019Mid0.052
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.043 | 89 | 89 |
| 0.039 | 55 | 144 |
| 0.037 | 165 | 309 |
| 0.007 | 25 | 335 |
| 0.006 | 28 | 363 |
| 0.005 | 101 | 464 |
| 0.004 | 368 | 833 |
| 0.003 | 408 | 1,241 |
| 0.002 | 466 | 1,707 |
| 0.001 | 712 | 2,419 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.957 | 89 | 89 |
| 0.961 | 55 | 144 |
| 0.963 | 165 | 309 |
| 0.993 | 25 | 335 |
| 0.994 | 28 | 363 |
| 0.995 | 101 | 464 |
| 0.996 | 368 | 833 |
| 0.997 | 408 | 1,241 |
| 0.998 | 466 | 1,707 |
| 0.999 | 712 | 2,419 |
Spread0.019Mid0.948
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.938 | 84 | 84 |
| 0.932 | 121 | 205 |
| 0.930 | 80 | 285 |
| 0.799 | 60 | 345 |
| 0.709 | 20 | 365 |
| 0.410 | 483 | 848 |
| 0.160 | 6 | 854 |
| 0.110 | 9 | 864 |
| 0.071 | 8 | 872 |
| 0.070 | 14 | 886 |
| 0.040 | 25 | 911 |
| 0.021 | 6 | 917 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 359.18 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 90 |
| rumbam | Yes | 87.29 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 79.42 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 61.43 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 44.24 |
| zzzfff | Yes | 41.02 |
| mauro321 | Yes | 21 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 17 |
| 0xCbDD4D8899afAE814Edd1C869105265d08BcE4ed-1779518002032 | Yes | 15.63 |
| tanirus | Yes | 14.08 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 14 |
| sakura11 | Yes | 10 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 1.76 |
| Olcan | No | 795.16 |
| just-bettor | No | 35 |
| Mojito9 | No | 15.58 |
| moonrise-clump | No | 5.62 |
| LabEma | No | 3.24 |
| balthazar | No | 1.15 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45:22 | BUY | Yes | 0.054 | 5 | $0.27 |
| 02:39:27 | SELL | Yes | 0.059 | 20 | $1.18 |
| 21:57:57 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 35 | $32.90 |
| 01:24:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 3 | $0.17 |
| 09:59:04 | SELL | No | 0.937 | 7 | $6.49 |
| 12:09:41 | BUY | No | 0.9319999951 | 3 | $3.02 |
| 02:24:15 | SELL | Yes | 0.069 | 11 | $0.78 |
| 02:24:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.069 | 31 | $2.16 |
| 10:37:51 | BUY | No | 0.928999999 | 7 | $6.44 |
| 09:42:47 | SELL | Yes | 0.071 | 20 | $1.42 |
| 06:43:45 | BUY | No | 0.925 | 20 | $18.80 |
| 06:43:44 | SELL | Yes | 0.074 | 20 | $1.48 |
| 06:43:42 | BUY | No | 0.9 | 371 | $334.17 |
| 06:43:29 | BUY | No | 0.8999999888 | 18 | $16.09 |
| 19:27:53 | BUY | Yes | 0.0709999952 | 14 | $1.00 |
| 16:05:54 | BUY | Yes | 0.057278406 | 87 | $5.00 |
| 16:03:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.043 | 21 | $0.90 |
| 14:42:54 | BUY | Yes | 0.039 | 41 | $1.60 |
| 19:59:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.016 | 58 | $0.93 |
| 21:30:44 | SELL | No | 0.979 | 5 | $4.89 |
| 19:59:10 | BUY | No | 0.9201906593 | 255 | $234.46 |
| 19:59:10 | BUY | No | 0.945 | 40 | $37.80 |
| 01:05:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.02 | 10 | $0.20 |
| 01:04:21 | SELL | No | 0.92 | 37 | $34.04 |
| 01:04:07 | SELL | No | 0.9329127517 | 37 | $34.75 |