Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.049 | 11 | 11 |
| 0.050 | 40 | 51 |
| 0.058 | 8 | 59 |
| 0.070 | 100 | 159 |
| 0.144 | 370 | 529 |
| 0.149 | 13 | 542 |
| 0.150 | 8 | 550 |
| 0.180 | 108 | 658 |
| 0.340 | 6 | 664 |
| 0.729 | 310 | 974 |
| 0.740 | 5 | 979 |
| 0.840 | 6 | 985 |
Spread0.028Mid0.035
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.021 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.020 | 110 | 123 |
| 0.013 | 22 | 144 |
| 0.012 | 26 | 170 |
| 0.011 | 7 | 177 |
| 0.010 | 1,200 | 1,377 |
| 0.002 | 153 | 1,531 |
| 0.001 | 3,266 | 4,797 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.979 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.980 | 110 | 123 |
| 0.987 | 22 | 144 |
| 0.988 | 26 | 170 |
| 0.989 | 7 | 177 |
| 0.990 | 1,200 | 1,377 |
| 0.998 | 153 | 1,531 |
| 0.999 | 3,266 | 4,797 |
Spread0.028Mid0.965
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.951 | 11 | 11 |
| 0.950 | 40 | 51 |
| 0.942 | 8 | 59 |
| 0.930 | 100 | 159 |
| 0.856 | 370 | 529 |
| 0.851 | 13 | 542 |
| 0.850 | 8 | 550 |
| 0.820 | 108 | 658 |
| 0.660 | 6 | 664 |
| 0.271 | 310 | 974 |
| 0.260 | 5 | 979 |
| 0.160 | 6 | 985 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 119.93 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 70 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 61.43 |
| doudouc | Yes | 40.07 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 31.32 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 21 |
| AJSV | Yes | 20.83 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 14 |
| 0x1236d4c9f5926125a0Fee759b23942cfd618C968-1771524654076 | Yes | 11.06 |
| sakura11 | Yes | 10 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 8.94 |
| Anony777 | Yes | 2.86 |
| wendywu1 | No | 200 |
| Olcan | No | 174.6 |
| monoclith | No | 20 |
| leectram | No | 10 |
| moonrise-clump | No | 5.62 |
| trrr12 | No | 1.23 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:32:51 | SELL | Yes | 0.03 | 20 | $0.60 |
| 23:39:23 | SELL | Yes | 0.1 | 40 | $4.01 |
| 23:38:21 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 20 | $1.80 |
| 23:38:14 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 20 | $2.20 |
| 23:38:11 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 200 | $178.00 |
| 06:13:23 | SELL | Yes | 0.02 | 23 | $0.46 |
| 00:58:23 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 23 | $18.17 |
| 17:24:15 | BUY | No | 0.86 | 34 | $29.33 |
| 17:23:57 | SELL | Yes | 0.15 | 20 | $3.00 |
| 17:23:48 | BUY | No | 0.8399999348 | 1 | $1.03 |
| 17:23:48 | BUY | No | 0.84 | 41 | $34.44 |
| 14:19:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.16 | 20 | $3.20 |
| 13:22:43 | SELL | Yes | 0.15 | 20 | $3.00 |
| 13:22:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.15 | 71 | $10.71 |
| 12:54:33 | BUY | No | 0.78 | 10 | $7.80 |
| 10:27:18 | BUY | Yes | 0.0699999874 | 71 | $5.00 |
| 07:24:27 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 20 | $18.20 |
| 07:08:39 | BUY | No | 0.8899999858 | 6 | $5.00 |
| 06:40:18 | BUY | No | 0.8883673469 | 123 | $108.82 |
| 03:59:09 | SELL | No | 0.85 | 4 | $3.26 |
| 03:31:07 | SELL | No | 0.83 | 20 | $16.60 |
| 00:29:42 | BUY | Yes | 0.1199999808 | 44 | $5.26 |