sakura11
0x018a55818e859024628fa8582fefc67a38389522
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $188.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,723
- Open portfolio
- $289.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,723
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?
- +$299.52at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
- +$243.94at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?
- +$230.00at 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$115.12at 0.311Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 03:33 | Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 07-28 02:57 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 07-28 02:53 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 02:53 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.92 |
| 07-28 02:53 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 07-28 02:41 | Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.01 |
| 07-28 01:42 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.334 | $5.81 |
| 07-28 01:41 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.336 | $5.84 |
| 07-28 01:41 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.336 | $5.84 |
| 07-28 01:40 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.336 | $2.49 |
| 07-28 01:21 | Will Dillon Ward win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.76 |
| 07-28 01:16 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.42 |
| 07-28 00:52 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-28 00:39 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.02 |
| 07-28 00:11 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.17 |