PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Squiggly-Description

0x018a55818e859024628fa8582fefc67a38389522

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$226.5k
Markets traded
2,282
Open portfolio
$99.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,282
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? · No0.6300.971$19.41+$6.81
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? · No0.8100.820$16.40+$0.20
Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026? · No0.9100.665$13.30−$4.90
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.5300.635$12.70+$2.10
Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5200.355$7.10−$3.30
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4700.350$6.65−$2.28
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.475$6.23−$3.21
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.5200.295$5.90−$4.50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.3100.180$3.60−$2.60
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.175$3.50−$11.70
Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31? · Yes0.1800.168$3.35−$0.25
Will Tremaine Edmunds finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions? · Yes0.4300.030$0.60−$8.00
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? · Yes0.1730.049$0.49−$1.24
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes0.3800.019$0.38−$7.22
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.6100.011$0.14−$7.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSELL0.01$0.30
09-02 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.05$1.50
09-02 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.25$2.83
09-02 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.3399999632$3.88
09-02 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.23$1.23
09-02 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.24$3.09
09-02 07:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.1699999606$3.11
09-02 07:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSELL0.1$3.51
09-02 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.1699999792$5.98
09-02 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSELL0.2$6.70
09-02 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.2699999833$9.08
09-02 07:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSELL0.28$10.05
09-02 07:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.34$12.24
09-02 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSELL0.02$0.80
09-02 07:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.19$7.60