mauro321
0x84e933469740ac693e07b36ccf4b86afebaf36b0
- Realised P&L
- $-23.02
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.78at 0.311Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$2.56at 0.280Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
- +$2.52at 0.370Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$2.11at 0.950Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$0.54at 0.021Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 11:27 | Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 18:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 16:08 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.055 | $2.20 |
| 09-24 16:03 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.90 |
| 09-24 16:01 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-24 15:56 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-04 19:56 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6308198198 | $6.30 |
| 07-04 19:56 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $4.80 |
| 06-18 13:17 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 06-08 17:45 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-08 17:38 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 06-08 17:37 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 02-27 16:02 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 02-27 15:59 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 02-24 15:19 | Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |