rumbam
0xf3d3d3456686e24a4ed03197a5b43dfdaac9ad06
- Realised P&L
- $-124.08
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $6.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.16at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$25.52at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.38at 0.810Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.70at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$3.70at 0.765Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 22:13 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4439998526 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 22:12 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.037314051 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 21:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 21:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0158878503 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:12 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:11 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:11 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |