zzzfff
0x90103447b2aac2f3cf906c70d3892529311bd06f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $750.0k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $740.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.287Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$612.35at 0.698US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$479.33at 0.070Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$422.65at 0.192Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$366.97at 0.552US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:35 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-30 22:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 23:03 | Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-27 20:09 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 23:04 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.38 |
| 08-06 18:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 08-04 19:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 19:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 18:26 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.26 |
| 07-24 16:31 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2176303441 | $8.35 |
| 07-24 15:02 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 07-24 15:00 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $2.37 |
| 07-23 22:21 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.66 |
| 07-23 22:20 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |