Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 351 | 351 |
| 0.16 | 70 | 421 |
| 0.35 | 75 | 495 |
| 0.36 | 11 | 506 |
| 0.38 | 13 | 519 |
| 0.39 | 500 | 1,019 |
| 0.54 | 50 | 1,069 |
| 0.66 | 30 | 1,099 |
| 0.71 | 1,054 | 2,153 |
| 0.72 | 540 | 2,693 |
| 0.76 | 20 | 2,713 |
| 0.80 | 650 | 3,363 |
Spread0.02Mid0.14
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 260 | 260 |
| 0.12 | 213 | 473 |
| 0.06 | 130 | 602 |
| 0.05 | 80 | 682 |
| 0.04 | 71 | 753 |
| 0.03 | 300 | 1,053 |
| 0.02 | 15 | 1,069 |
| 0.01 | 1,259 | 2,328 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 260 | 260 |
| 0.88 | 213 | 473 |
| 0.94 | 130 | 602 |
| 0.95 | 80 | 682 |
| 0.96 | 71 | 753 |
| 0.97 | 300 | 1,053 |
| 0.98 | 15 | 1,069 |
| 0.99 | 1,259 | 2,328 |
Spread0.02Mid0.86
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 351 | 351 |
| 0.84 | 70 | 421 |
| 0.65 | 75 | 495 |
| 0.64 | 11 | 506 |
| 0.62 | 13 | 519 |
| 0.61 | 500 | 1,019 |
| 0.46 | 50 | 1,069 |
| 0.34 | 30 | 1,099 |
| 0.29 | 1,054 | 2,153 |
| 0.28 | 540 | 2,693 |
| 0.24 | 20 | 2,713 |
| 0.20 | 650 | 3,363 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yeahsingularityyah | Yes | 283.63 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 74.75 |
| AJSV | Yes | 24.85 |
| ramc2005 | Yes | 23 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 20.1 |
| signalso | Yes | 20 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 17.83 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 14 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 13.9 |
| pppnn | Yes | 10.7 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Olcan | No | 349.07 |
| zk1984 | No | 115.6 |
| Fluo | No | 30 |
| monoclith | No | 20 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:58:10 | BUY | No | 0.85 | 20 | $17.00 |
| 06:50:46 | SELL | No | 0.89 | 26 | $23.40 |
| 16:48:30 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 20 | $17.60 |
| 15:30:58 | SELL | No | 0.88 | 3 | $2.65 |
| 15:29:31 | SELL | No | 0.88 | 23 | $20.25 |
| 01:05:28 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 11 | $0.99 |
| 01:03:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 103 | $11.33 |
| 07:48:25 | BUY | No | 0.85 | 5 | $4.25 |
| 07:47:07 | BUY | No | 0.85 | 5 | $4.25 |
| 07:46:37 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 8 | $7.02 |
| 07:46:36 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 20 | $18.20 |
| 07:45:13 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 20 | $18.20 |
| 07:45:00 | SELL | No | 0.9194275 | 40 | $36.78 |
| 07:44:55 | BUY | Yes | 0.0705156457 | 284 | $20.00 |
| 13:41:16 | SELL | No | 0.92 | 6 | $5.21 |
| 13:41:15 | SELL | No | 0.92 | 6 | $5.21 |
| 05:51:07 | SELL | No | 0.9 | 53 | $47.70 |
| 05:51:06 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 20 | $18.20 |
| 05:50:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.08 | 93 | $7.44 |
| 20:17:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 19 | $1.12 |
| 04:47:07 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 20 | $1.20 |
| 03:47:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 3 | $0.27 |
| 03:44:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 40 | $3.60 |
| 03:44:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.0970366876 | 276 | $26.74 |
| 00:49:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.108 | 50 | $5.40 |