Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.05 to 0.11. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	242	242
0.13	844	1,085
0.15	80	1,165
0.26	20	1,185
0.27	75	1,260
0.33	12	1,272
0.41	30	1,302
0.42	16	1,318
0.52	100	1,418
0.53	40	1,458
0.58	40	1,498
0.59	435	1,933

Spread0.04Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	349	349
0.07	150	499
0.06	1,053	1,551
0.05	40	1,591
0.04	2,697	4,289
0.03	17	4,306
0.02	715	5,021
0.01	223	5,244

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	349	349
0.93	150	499
0.94	1,053	1,551
0.95	40	1,591
0.96	2,697	4,289
0.97	17	4,306
0.98	715	5,021
0.99	223	5,244

Spread0.04Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	242	242
0.87	844	1,085
0.85	80	1,165
0.74	20	1,185
0.73	75	1,260
0.67	12	1,272
0.59	30	1,302
0.58	16	1,318
0.48	100	1,418
0.47	40	1,458
0.42	40	1,498
0.41	435	1,933

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Yeahsingularityyah	Yes	283.63
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	269.28
LornaPredicts	Yes	218.15
rocky42013	Yes	83
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	74.75
HerrieDavis	Yes	62.13
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	62
tanirus	Yes	59.01
Numitus1994	Yes	37.25
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	20.1
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
signalso	Yes	20
zzzfff	Yes	19.99
WilliMekkit	Yes	16.3
mehanizator	Yes	14
Mojito9	Yes	10
PPMT	Yes	3.44
balthazar	Yes	1
Olcan	No	1,049.3
zk1984	No	115.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:24:07	SELL	Yes	0.06	1	$0.03
17:09:43	BUY	Yes	0.08	5	$0.40
22:24:33	BUY	Yes	0.08	10	$0.80
14:56:09	BUY	Yes	0.08	20	$1.61
04:34:29	SELL	No	0.9118	100	$91.18
04:33:02	SELL	No	0.92	1	$0.62
04:32:59	SELL	No	0.93	78	$72.85
04:32:57	SELL	No	0.93	131	$121.52
14:17:35	BUY	Yes	0.06	9	$0.56
14:16:39	BUY	No	0.97	24	$23.28
14:16:39	SELL	Yes	0.0349623795	455	$15.89
12:09:12	BUY	No	0.919999949	5	$4.33
14:33:53	SELL	No	0.91	14	$12.74
16:28:54	SELL	Yes	0.1	17	$1.74
14:54:41	BUY	Yes	0.09	30	$2.70
05:33:11	SELL	Yes	0.1	30	$3.00
05:33:06	SELL	Yes	0.1	25	$2.50
05:33:05	SELL	Yes	0.11	10	$1.13
05:32:36	BUY	No	0.87	131	$113.68
05:32:35	BUY	No	0.88	19	$16.45
05:32:35	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
05:32:35	BUY	No	0.88	24	$21.12
05:32:35	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
02:50:41	BUY	No	0.8699999706	15	$13.03
14:03:18	SELL	Yes	0.13	1	$0.12