Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.771. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.778. Range 0.577 to 0.854. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.775	10	10
0.776	65	75
0.804	89	164
0.848	134	299
0.849	500	799
0.850	200	999
0.967	19	1,017
0.968	79	1,096
0.970	13	1,109
0.980	50	1,159
0.989	11	1,170
0.990	100	1,270

Spread0.007Mid0.772

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.768	20	20
0.756	80	100
0.755	96	196
0.725	20	216
0.507	60	276
0.506	18	294
0.504	20	313
0.502	20	334
0.501	139	473
0.500	220	692
0.260	5	697
0.101	5	703

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.232	20	20
0.244	80	100
0.245	96	196
0.275	20	216
0.493	60	276
0.494	18	294
0.496	20	313
0.498	20	334
0.499	139	473
0.500	220	692
0.740	5	697
0.899	5	703

Spread0.007Mid0.229

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.225	10	10
0.224	65	75
0.196	89	164
0.152	134	299
0.151	500	799
0.150	200	999
0.033	19	1,017
0.032	79	1,096
0.030	13	1,109
0.020	50	1,159
0.011	11	1,170
0.010	100	1,270

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cesquare	Yes	2,543.15
varch01	Yes	100
buyaonao	Yes	100
0x43E0F1fC0FF7724Cf70959F8b5Ae476c006e1caF-1751843510927	Yes	80
Computerdude111	Yes	65.14
Mithrandir.	Yes	50
sirjhow01	Yes	45
shoggoth	Yes	40
ImSweating	Yes	40
ramc2005	Yes	22
justmeandme	Yes	21
crastsa	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	17.87
Praescientia	Yes	15
benngai	Yes	12.5
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	11.53
liukun	Yes	10
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes	10
BAO95889	Yes	8.78
Onswaggie	Yes	5.52

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:51:01	SELL	No	0.225	50	$11.25
16:23:50	SELL	No	0.246	25	$6.27
16:23:50	SELL	No	0.246	65	$15.99
15:24:02	SELL	No	0.246	50	$12.30
15:19:33	SELL	No	0.246	50	$12.30
15:19:33	SELL	No	0.246	40	$9.84
15:19:30	BUY	Yes	0.7255784053	688	$499.50
12:17:12	SELL	No	0.277	27	$7.37
12:00:00	BUY	Yes	0.7191831534	145	$104.42
02:56:25	BUY	Yes	0.7189998979	1	$1.00
16:34:51	BUY	Yes	0.62	5	$3.10
16:32:28	SELL	Yes	0.67	5	$3.35
16:24:39	SELL	Yes	0.711921	20	$14.24
16:23:34	SELL	Yes	0.782	1	$0.52
16:17:03	BUY	No	0.24	20	$4.80
16:05:58	SELL	Yes	0.782	1	$0.59
16:05:55	SELL	Yes	0.755	20	$15.10
15:13:31	SELL	Yes	0.782	3	$2.59
15:13:28	SELL	Yes	0.773	80	$61.84
15:00:45	BUY	Yes	0.719	26	$18.64
15:00:37	BUY	Yes	0.719	5	$3.59
14:59:36	BUY	Yes	0.6799999357	4	$2.54
14:59:33	BUY	Yes	0.7186125	80	$57.49
14:57:10	SELL	No	0.362	40	$14.48
14:55:37	SELL	No	0.37	5	$1.89