buyaonao
0x5497bd9b48337f06fd51d695e7a05bc6ed778ac9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $43.1k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $283.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.79at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.00at 0.360Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
- +$52.80at 0.820Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$47.38at 0.678Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$47.00at 0.530Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:30 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.305753 | $30.58 |
| 09-09 03:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.83 | $134.23 |
| 07-07 12:59 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.699341 | $69.93 |
| 06-23 04:19 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.40261 | $40.26 |
| 06-16 15:13 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 06-15 01:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $191.00 |
| 05-28 04:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.9890647 | $98.91 |
| 05-13 01:30 | Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $48.40 |
| 04-23 08:14 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 04-21 00:07 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.241691 | $48.34 |
| 03-25 01:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | SELL | 0.202 | $15.98 |
| 03-23 06:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | BUY | 0.86 | $68.03 |
| 03-23 06:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | SELL | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 03-23 00:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | BUY | 0.914 | $91.40 |