PolyBot

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Traders

0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272

0xff12c076486622f6492023399a4e84d46dfbcdc4

Realised P&L
$-662.57
Volume
$72.1k
Markets traded
670
Open portfolio
$843.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded670
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.925$182.76+$16.73
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7510.977$144.29+$33.32
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · No0.7400.865$136.56+$19.73
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.775$37.50+$1.21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6100.780$23.41+$5.10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2630.265$21.20+$0.13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4170.493$18.45+$2.84
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.8190.880$18.15+$1.25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8380.915$16.07+$1.35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2600.255$11.03−$0.22
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.9080.966$9.65+$0.57
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.7600.865$8.65+$1.05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2420.050$8.30−$32.24
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.6950.665$6.65−$0.30
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.4500.645$6.45+$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:45Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.615$5.36
10-20 05:07Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.6$8.26
10-19 17:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.489$11.02
10-19 17:22Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.48$2.40
10-19 04:06Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.74$3.70
10-19 02:22Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.66$6.60
10-19 00:36Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$36.29
10-19 00:34Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.7$3.50
10-18 21:36Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.469$2.41
10-18 00:56Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.84$5.83
10-17 04:43Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.603$4.94
10-17 04:21Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.597$4.36
10-17 01:11Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.607$16.10
10-17 00:08Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.523$3.82
10-16 18:35Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?BUY0.69$3.45