liukun
0x8f2de6c8693179d2bc00d4de189b12aa3ef6e36f
- Realised P&L
- $181.98
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $522.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.74at 0.527Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$23.00at 0.646Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$22.75at 0.520TikTok sale announced by September 30?
- +$17.92at 0.801Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
- +$12.14at 0.360Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 06:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-05 06:09 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.938 | $28.14 |
| 08-23 14:53 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 08-23 14:45 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 08-23 14:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 08-23 14:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 08-23 09:29 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.43 | $15.05 |
| 08-23 09:27 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.58 | $33.91 |
| 08-23 07:50 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999888 | $15.00 |
| 08-23 07:42 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-23 04:30 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-22 11:35 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 08-22 11:33 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.33 | $7.76 |
| 08-22 11:27 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999936 | $30.00 |
| 08-22 10:28 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |