PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

otto.

0x3b83fbab2ec40d92396f35238e763ba61b4990f1

Realised P&L
$12.34
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$64.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:57Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?BUY0.32$5.00
10-18 23:57Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.25$5.00
10-18 23:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-18 23:46Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-18 23:45Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.7949999897$5.00
10-18 23:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
10-18 23:412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.629999995$5.00
10-18 23:40Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-18 23:39Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-18 23:38Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?BUY0.5549999512$5.00
10-18 23:37Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?BUY0.8599999243$5.00
10-18 23:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
10-04 16:18Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1739999951$5.00
10-04 16:15Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
07-14 20:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$1.00