otto.
0x3b83fbab2ec40d92396f35238e763ba61b4990f1
- Realised P&L
- $12.34
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $64.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.50at 0.149Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$18.33at 0.450Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
- +$9.19at 0.620Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
- +$5.29at 0.570Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
- +$5.01at 0.666Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:57 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7949999897 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:40 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:39 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:38 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.5549999512 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:37 | Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 23:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:18 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1739999951 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |