PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

shoggoth

0x231b923ef301b60f2ca041d658ad8c05432e73df

Realised P&L
$-247.57
Volume
$235.0k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$896.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 01:59Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.0386858293$158.61
10-20 01:58France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0304654615$39.61
10-20 01:57France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?SELL0.020670678$10.32
10-19 13:48Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0536163733$80.42
10-19 10:52Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.0525816234$18.55
10-19 10:51France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?BUY0.037$9.43
10-19 10:50France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?BUY0.018$10.80
10-19 10:50France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?BUY0.017$0.34
10-19 08:17Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?BUY0.07$21.00
10-19 08:17Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.1$100.00
10-19 08:16Paris curfew by October 24?BUY0.06$60.00
10-19 08:16Paris curfew by October 21?BUY0.0212139721$10.34
10-19 08:10Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.987$25.58
10-19 08:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.517$86.60
10-19 08:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.482$81.58