shoggoth
0x231b923ef301b60f2ca041d658ad8c05432e73df
- Realised P&L
- $-247.57
- Volume
- $235.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $896.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.81at 0.784Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$100.27at 0.818Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$48.69at 0.227Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$25.30at 0.863Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.16at 0.880Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 01:59 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.0386858293 | $158.61 |
| 10-20 01:58 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0304654615 | $39.61 |
| 10-20 01:57 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.020670678 | $10.32 |
| 10-19 13:48 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0536163733 | $80.42 |
| 10-19 10:52 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0525816234 | $18.55 |
| 10-19 10:51 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $9.43 |
| 10-19 10:50 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $10.80 |
| 10-19 10:50 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 10-19 08:17 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.00 |
| 10-19 08:17 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 08:16 | Paris curfew by October 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-19 08:16 | Paris curfew by October 21? | BUY | 0.0212139721 | $10.34 |
| 10-19 08:10 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $25.58 |
| 10-19 08:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.517 | $86.60 |
| 10-19 08:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.482 | $81.58 |