PolyBot

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Traders

crastsa

0x3b8bb510a4b02a05df5f4d32cffee1fb8277a7c8

Realised P&L
$-27.00
Volume
$106.2k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$317.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9450.958$199.16+$2.52
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9880.982$49.10$0.30
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7190.345$29.44$31.90
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8980.935$24.31+$0.96
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · Yes0.7790.766$15.33$0.25
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.07$0.95
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.20
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$18.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 02:25Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.962$96.20
09-11 02:24Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.988$49.40
09-11 02:24Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?BUY0.779$15.58
09-11 02:22Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8980769231$23.35
09-11 02:22Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7187883759$61.34
08-11 03:37Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$35.20
08-11 03:36Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$31.50
06-18 09:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.7793333333$116.90
06-18 09:46Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.007$17.52
06-10 09:36Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$20.02
06-10 09:34Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$28.47
05-28 03:11Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$34.24
05-28 03:08Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.993$99.30
04-17 10:30Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.96$104.64
04-05 03:26Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.002$10.68