PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.12 to 0.28. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12127127
0.1396223
0.1670293
0.1960353
0.2019372
0.2140412
0.2280492
0.44500992
0.511131,104
0.67301,134
0.7751,139
0.81201,159

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11123123
0.1040163
0.0925188
0.0623210
0.05192402
0.04408810
0.022001,010
0.01141,024

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89123123
0.9040163
0.9125188
0.9423210
0.95192402
0.96408810
0.982001,010
0.99141,024

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88127127
0.8796223
0.8470293
0.8160353
0.8019372
0.7940412
0.7880492
0.56500992
0.491131,104
0.33301,134
0.2351,139
0.19201,159

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Bsau4Yes282.18
FihdrzgddYes80
pootytherewardfarmerYes65.88
MajasYes42.5
pppnnYes40
0x07613f5E8A24b659F167F74F13893d93b1f88dc9-1789407724672Yes39.15
Computerdude111Yes30
planktonXDYes28.86
AJSVYes28.54
LaribobiboYes25.78
0xe193…730bYes20
smarterstratYes20
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes7.85
GuyFromTinderYes6.55
bechamelYes2.6
pmqianbaolaileYes1.66
BAO95889No450.36
OlcanNo202.83
LornaPredictsNo23.18
tiongbuNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:15:11BUYNo0.859$7.48
14:15:08BUYNo0.84767520$16.95
14:15:08BUYNo0.84215$180.60
11:37:59SELLYes0.1620$3.20
03:19:51BUYYes0.179999991416$2.92
03:19:48SELLNo0.8220$16.05
02:08:43SELLNo0.680$0.10
02:08:42BUYNo0.755$3.75
02:02:58BUYNo0.7420$14.80
01:48:01BUYNo0.78999992573$2.02
01:47:58BUYNo0.7958$45.82
01:01:45BUYNo0.83$2.08
01:01:42BUYNo0.7960$47.40
21:47:01SELLNo0.8120$16.20
17:55:24SELLYes0.1880$14.40
18:03:22SELLNo0.791$0.92
17:18:42SELLYes0.220$4.00
10:53:36SELLNo0.7820$15.60
10:22:21SELLYes0.2450$12.00
08:38:09SELLNo0.823333333383$67.92
08:02:43SELLNo0.831$0.56
08:02:43BUYYes0.169999994719$3.20
08:02:42SELLNo0.8440$33.60
06:58:55BUYNo0.81540$32.60
04:25:13SELLNo0.8474074074162$137.28