0xe193de2841d617be3b4188be5f1ea9dd9703730b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.03
- Volume
- $967.30
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $126.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
- +$1.75at 0.650Will B8 Make a Roster Change before September?
- +$1.57at 0.540Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
- +$1.34at 0.660ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?
- +$1.32at 0.650FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 03:04 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-22 20:04 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.98 |
| 08-22 16:35 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.23 |
| 08-22 14:14 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7899998188 | $3.75 |
| 08-22 07:57 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3299999516 | $3.75 |
| 08-21 18:06 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.60 |
| 08-20 20:31 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7399999803 | $3.75 |
| 08-19 22:11 | Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-19 17:11 | EWC CS2 2026: Any map to go 13-0 | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-19 01:31 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.32 |
| 08-17 09:50 | ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-16 19:34 | Will FURIA Make a Roster Change before September? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.34 |
| 08-16 07:17 | Will FURIA Make a Roster Change before September? | BUY | 0.7699999959 | $3.75 |
| 08-16 01:52 | Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-14 10:35 | Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |