PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x07613f5E8A24b659F167F74F13893d93b1f88dc9-1789407724672

0x07613f5e8a24b659f167f74f13893d93b1f88dc9

Realised P&L
$-66.21
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$162.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.165$21.45$4.55
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? · No0.2690.245$19.60$1.90
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · Yes0.2800.285$14.25+$0.25
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes0.2900.285$14.25$0.25
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · No0.2700.220$13.20$3.00
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? · Yes0.1800.165$11.55$1.05
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.2600.255$11.07$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? · Yes0.3100.315$9.35+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21? · Yes0.3300.275$8.80$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21? · Yes0.3090.275$8.27$1.04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2700.270$5.40+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.2500.245$4.90$0.10
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms? · Yes0.1250.115$4.60$0.40
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes0.1550.115$4.50$1.57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.1440.045$3.29$7.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.