Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.242. up 0.160 over the period, from 0.082. Range 0.082 to 0.247. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.266	120	120
0.267	5	125
0.268	35	160
0.280	1,115	1,275
0.310	4	1,278
0.349	148	1,426
0.350	658	2,084
0.629	40	2,124
0.672	30	2,154
0.738	7	2,161
0.739	50	2,211
0.740	250	2,461

Spread0.048Mid0.242

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.218	69	69
0.174	11	80
0.173	20	100
0.137	14	115
0.135	20	135
0.117	9	144
0.107	20	164
0.106	20	184
0.104	13	197
0.100	21	218
0.078	5	223
0.049	24	247

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.782	69	69
0.826	11	80
0.827	20	100
0.863	14	115
0.865	20	135
0.883	9	144
0.893	20	164
0.894	20	184
0.896	13	197
0.900	21	218
0.922	5	223
0.951	24	247

Spread0.048Mid0.758

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.734	120	120
0.733	5	125
0.732	35	160
0.720	1,115	1,275
0.690	4	1,278
0.651	148	1,426
0.650	658	2,084
0.371	40	2,124
0.328	30	2,154
0.262	7	2,161
0.261	50	2,211
0.260	250	2,461

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Neogenesis	Yes	1,114.57
Adrink3D	Yes	657.85
0xa288476992285Ab1535a19fF5CB5C31d494Bf80f-1766059352725	Yes	353.86
0x43ca1f1D6ee7Aabae77904Ac6bD49645EefCd04C-1772321874896	Yes	168.67
S888	Yes	133.81
Shalevroei	Yes	78.67
ViscaElBarca	Yes	75
0x8c55…aa57	Yes	61.17
LornaPredicts	Yes	60
757677	Yes	44
daroghi	Yes	30
SiSi	Yes	30
Chrissistar04	Yes	26.4
LBZbot2	Yes	25.71
0xa154…87c6	Yes	25.08
po-ly28-test-user6	Yes	24.69
JakeBeez	Yes	20
destropyer	Yes	20
0x8c9f…46af	Yes	20
0xBDDED7909F0c7810AEcf89ED8a17009866D0E54a-1774574631675	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:43:10	BUY	No	0.7839995108	1	$1.00
00:10:01	BUY	Yes	0.183	20	$3.68
19:11:37	BUY	Yes	0.1600235217	156	$25.00
18:59:49	SELL	No	0.848	61	$52.02
18:02:42	SELL	Yes	0.137	6	$0.79
18:01:46	SELL	Yes	0.15	6	$0.87
18:01:42	BUY	No	0.848999982	6	$4.90
18:01:42	SELL	Yes	0.151	45	$6.73
03:12:21	BUY	No	0.8489994965	1	$1.00
01:41:37	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
19:41:33	BUY	Yes	0.16	10	$1.65
19:41:33	BUY	Yes	0.16	114	$18.24
19:35:58	BUY	Yes	0.159	33	$5.18
19:34:33	BUY	Yes	0.159	6	$1.01
19:34:33	BUY	Yes	0.158	20	$3.16
14:04:30	SELL	No	0.841	1	$0.91
14:03:51	SELL	Yes	0.134	6	$0.86
22:34:01	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
03:51:12	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
22:08:42	BUY	Yes	0.1548571429	56	$8.67
08:57:12	SELL	No	0.855	40	$34.20
19:57:49	BUY	Yes	0.1165318276	78	$9.06
17:47:12	SELL	Yes	0.084	20	$1.68
17:47:07	SELL	No	0.884	1	$0.96
17:46:00	BUY	No	0.9159999707	1	$1.00