0x43ca1f1D6ee7Aabae77904Ac6bD49645EefCd04C-1772321874896
0x43ca1f1d6ee7aabae77904ac6bd49645eefcd04c
- Realised P&L
- $-70.74
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $408.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.79at 0.015Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$159.72at 0.177Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$156.06at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$126.58at 0.135Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
- +$78.70at 0.059Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:58 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.0592885322 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 04:56 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.0479999955 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 04:55 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4739999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 04:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 23:18 | Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.60 |
| 07-18 23:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.046 | $14.63 |
| 07-18 23:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.053070176 | $16.58 |
| 07-06 20:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1572065135 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 20:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 21:48 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 17:34 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 20:20 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.69 |
| 07-01 02:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8? | BUY | 0.0047773744 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6? | BUY | 0.0058696928 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 02:31 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |