polikstoproc
0xb0166729b4fb7b50ed973a066cc1ad6466ff95fd
- Realised P&L
- $-9.93
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $286.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.082US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$-0.38at 0.781Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
- +$-1.77at 0.321Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.06at 0.186US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
- +$-17.56at 0.210Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.07 |
| 10-02 18:05 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $6.60 |
| 10-02 18:01 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.72 |
| 10-02 18:01 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.72 |
| 10-02 18:00 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.337 | $6.60 |
| 10-02 17:53 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $7.50 |
| 10-02 17:52 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.53 |
| 10-02 15:39 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.65 |
| 10-02 15:39 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.55 |
| 10-02 14:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.06 |
| 10-02 08:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $8.74 |
| 10-02 08:24 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $9.16 |
| 10-02 05:59 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $8.38 |
| 10-02 05:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.81 |
| 10-02 05:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.81 |