PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Immaterial-Advantage

0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$2.24M
Markets traded
1,103
Open portfolio
$38.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,103
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:59Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7187876448$1.5k
09-21 18:06Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$111.63
09-21 18:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$2.0k
09-11 14:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$5.0k
09-11 14:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.19$509.43
09-11 14:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.18$482.62
09-07 15:54Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.14$17.29
08-10 14:15Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.4$30.00
08-02 15:48Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.12$300.00
08-02 15:44Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.9099999999$800.00
08-02 15:42Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.3699999996$300.00
08-02 15:38Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.9308311886$750.00
08-01 22:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$823.41
07-26 10:15Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9439999999$8.0k
07-06 22:31Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.22$5.13