PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SiSi

0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800

Realised P&L
$8.8k
Volume
$2.18M
Markets traded
1,033
Open portfolio
$33.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,033
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9330.946$14.2k+$191.55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7080.795$3.1k+$333.43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1130.810$1.4k+$1.2k
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.1611.000$1.0k+$846.58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1430.887$942.66+$790.95
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9100.915$804.40+$4.40
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.9310.967$778.74+$28.74
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.945$708.75+$86.01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6960.885$697.91+$148.81
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0780.128$643.55+$249.85
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5400.525$587.39$16.78
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6490.345$490.50$433.00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.967$434.75+$56.99
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.022$391.30$8.68
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5570.710$383.92+$82.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:48Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.12$300.00
08-02 15:44Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.9099999999$800.00
08-02 15:42Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.3699999996$300.00
08-02 15:38Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.9308311886$750.00
08-01 22:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$823.41
07-26 10:15Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9439999999$8.0k
07-06 22:31Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.22$5.13
07-02 17:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1285943439$100.00
06-24 15:37Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.15$300.00
06-21 11:22Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.7299999999$700.00
06-14 06:03James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?SELL0.06$3.53
06-14 02:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$329.20
06-12 12:46Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BUY0.6899999997$500.00
06-11 17:06Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3SELL0.63$252.00
06-11 16:07Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BUY0.3899999996$400.00