0xa1545400c35ea87358437270a89dada783da87c6
- Realised P&L
- $4.87
- Volume
- $59.04
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $15.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.256 | $6.41 | +$4.91 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $4.92 | +$1.92 |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · No | 0.742 | 1.000 | $4.04 | +$1.04 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 01:23 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.0598205384 | $1.50 |
| 03-31 01:23 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.609999939 | $3.00 |
| 03-31 01:23 | OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? | BUY | 0.741999998 | $3.00 |
| 03-31 01:23 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |