PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa1545400c35ea87358437270a89dada783da87c6

Realised P&L
$4.87
Volume
$59.04
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$15.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0600.256$6.41+$4.91
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.6101.000$4.92+$1.92
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · No0.7421.000$4.04+$1.04
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$3.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 01:23Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?BUY0.0598205384$1.50
03-31 01:23US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.609999939$3.00
03-31 01:23OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?BUY0.741999998$3.00
03-31 01:23European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.12$3.00