0xC323C16b60aDb1C713eF2084916157eF90b1A9ca-1771891281181
0xc323c16b60adb1c713ef2084916157ef90b1a9ca
- Realised P&L
- $-784.15
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $6.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.235 | $4.23 | +$0.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.064 | $1.60 | +$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 3? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.045 | $1.13 | −$0.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.21at 0.720Will KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
- +$10.14at 0.710Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$10.14at 0.710Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$10.14at 0.710Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?
- +$10.14at 0.710Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-02 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.057672 | $1.44 |
| 10-02 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.13 |
| 10-02 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.187328 | $4.68 |
| 10-02 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.42 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $12.06 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%? | SELL | 0.987 | $11.55 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.76 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $9.39 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.7158651026 | $9.76 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.54 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 04-24 23:34 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.75 |
| 04-24 23:33 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.72 |
| 04-24 23:33 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.75 |