Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-18
Resolves by: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.026 over the period, from 0.041. Range 0.015 to 0.042. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	116	116
0.031	176	292
0.032	50	342
0.082	150	492
0.087	11	503
0.270	5	508
0.480	20	528
0.590	483	1,011
0.878	50	1,061
0.879	300	1,361
0.880	500	1,861
0.909	6	1,867

Spread0.005Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	5	5
0.012	100	105
0.009	112	217
0.008	200	417
0.005	200	617
0.004	1,250	1,867
0.003	294	2,161
0.001	2,387	4,548

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	5	5
0.988	100	105
0.991	112	217
0.992	200	417
0.995	200	617
0.996	1,250	1,867
0.997	294	2,161
0.999	2,387	4,548

Spread0.005Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	116	116
0.969	176	292
0.968	50	342
0.918	150	492
0.913	11	503
0.730	5	508
0.520	20	528
0.410	483	1,011
0.122	50	1,061
0.121	300	1,361
0.120	500	1,861
0.091	6	1,867

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	447.8
Zinatula	Yes	439.15
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	333.4
InHellishConditions	Yes	206.61
KRU-228	Yes	182.93
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	175.7
0x2583…261a	Yes	134.36
oiboy69	Yes	116.43
2B9S	Yes	89.27
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	80
GeWa2412	Yes	72.98
asakku	Yes	30
0x4e0e…394a	Yes	29.65
donthackme	Yes	25.15
e46m3	Yes	10.52
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	9
haveagoodday	Yes	2.6
mustbethewater	Yes	2
Haradwaith	Yes	1.49
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,367.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:04:36	BUY	Yes	0.018	60	$1.08
13:38:25	BUY	Yes	0.018	287	$5.16
19:05:28	BUY	No	0.985	20	$19.70
19:05:27	BUY	No	0.985	13	$12.61
19:03:45	SELL	Yes	0.015	18	$0.26
17:30:37	BUY	No	0.9848481496	52	$51.63
17:30:35	BUY	No	0.983	30	$29.49
16:33:35	BUY	No	0.982999998	1	$1.00
12:03:20	BUY	Yes	0.021	5	$0.11
11:09:41	BUY	No	0.9839999994	14	$14.19
10:20:40	SELL	Yes	0.016	31	$0.50
10:20:08	BUY	No	0.9839999997	31	$30.51
20:34:59	BUY	No	0.981	22	$21.58
19:03:44	BUY	Yes	0.0369908639	134	$4.97
19:03:40	BUY	No	0.984	20	$19.68
19:02:40	BUY	No	0.981	17	$16.68
19:02:40	BUY	No	0.9827339901	41	$39.90
19:02:38	BUY	No	0.985	60	$59.10
19:02:38	BUY	No	0.9837395833	23	$22.67
19:02:38	BUY	No	0.9849999997	30	$29.49
19:02:37	BUY	No	0.982	30	$29.46
15:46:20	BUY	Yes	0.035	30	$1.05
10:47:54	BUY	Yes	0.026	30	$0.78
02:44:35	BUY	No	0.981	6	$6.08
19:19:38	SELL	Yes	0.03	3	$0.09