PolyBot

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Traders

0x4e0e18ff072aeae211d1a5ebf3a23a41ea68394a

0x4e0e18ff072aeae211d1a5ebf3a23a41ea68394a

Realised P&L
$-8.43
Volume
$415.79
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$4.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027? · Yes0.1900.300$1.58+$0.58
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0370.032$0.86−$0.14
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$0.69−$0.31
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.011$0.65−$0.35
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.0400.025$0.61−$0.39
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0340.015$0.46−$0.54
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider · Iva Jovic0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Ekaterina Alexandrova0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 23? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh · Botic van de Zandschulp0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Jacquet vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Alexandra Eala (+1.5) · Alexandra Eala0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 23? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 04:37Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.0373205739$1.00
10-29 04:36Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.04$1.00
10-23 11:12Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 23?BUY0.0102365026$2.00
10-23 09:16Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0996291008$1.00
10-23 09:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 23?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-22 21:13European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou BergsBUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-22 21:12Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana ShnaiderBUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-22 21:11Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-22 21:10Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli TaggerBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-22 07:41Jacquet vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-22 07:38Lyon Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van AsscheBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-22 07:37Lyon Open: Borna Gojo vs Daniel AltmaierBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-22 07:36Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Alexandra Eala (+1.5)BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-22 03:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-22 02:59Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?BUY0.1899999962$1.00