PolyBot

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Traders

0x2583829535661016b85cea56eab41a2a5280261a

0x2583829535661016b85cea56eab41a2a5280261a

Realised P&L
$-158.46
Volume
$37.0k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$786.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:02Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?SELL0.15$17.42
10-01 21:00Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 2?BUY0.13$5.20
10-01 20:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.569999998$11.69
10-01 19:41Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?BUY0.2687763556$75.62
10-01 13:00Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?BUY0.7792168656$49.75
09-26 10:48Will Trump say "Citibank" in September?BUY0.885$74.28
09-26 09:47Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.5$29.85
09-11 05:00Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.0729267433$19.90
09-09 08:03Will Trump say "Amazon" in September?BUY0.4599999901$19.48
09-09 08:00Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in September?BUY0.22$16.50
09-09 06:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8599999991$218.90
09-08 06:13Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2799999997$96.06
09-01 08:13Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.6599999942$29.45
09-01 08:12Will Andy Burnham say "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7599999969$19.71
09-01 08:04Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?BUY0.36$54.72