PolyBot

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Traders

0x2583829535661016b85cea56eab41a2a5280261a

Realised P&L
$158.64
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$553.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.530$175.78+$56.38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.1520.165$108.57+$8.41
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3300.265$79.90$19.60
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.024$43.88$6.86
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes0.1850.160$43.06$6.69
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · Yes0.2120.170$39.90$9.85
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$21.67$18.33
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? · No0.5220.450$16.85$2.69
Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? · No0.6080.645$15.59+$0.89
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0410.022$10.71$9.19
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.6650.000$0.00$189.05
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$147.66
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$164.17
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$118.04
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:37Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.1848630182$49.75
08-05 00:37Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.2119709248$49.75
07-31 16:21U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6304279983$119.40
07-31 12:16Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.6412031288$122.19
07-31 10:08U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.7349999975$69.65
07-30 20:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999988$119.40
07-30 20:39Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.027754886$50.74
07-30 09:17Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?BUY0.6082758464$14.70
07-30 09:13Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?BUY0.5218922469$19.54
07-29 23:46Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499999801$29.44
07-29 23:45Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.7299999995$147.66
07-29 23:44Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.7099999988$118.04
07-28 11:38Will Trump say "Putin" during Fox & Friends appearance?BUY0.2999999938$24.20
07-28 11:34Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance?BUY0.5699999994$9.78
07-28 11:33Will Trump say "Election" during Fox & Friends appearance?BUY0.7301102543$29.53