0x2583829535661016b85cea56eab41a2a5280261a
- Realised P&L
- $158.64
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $553.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.26at 0.361Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
- +$184.01at 0.730Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$124.92at 0.815US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$118.50at 0.303Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$97.52at 0.600Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:37 | Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.1848630182 | $49.75 |
| 08-05 00:37 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | BUY | 0.2119709248 | $49.75 |
| 07-31 16:21 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6304279983 | $119.40 |
| 07-31 12:16 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? | BUY | 0.6412031288 | $122.19 |
| 07-31 10:08 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.7349999975 | $69.65 |
| 07-30 20:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999988 | $119.40 |
| 07-30 20:39 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027754886 | $50.74 |
| 07-30 09:17 | Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? | BUY | 0.6082758464 | $14.70 |
| 07-30 09:13 | Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? | BUY | 0.5218922469 | $19.54 |
| 07-29 23:46 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999801 | $29.44 |
| 07-29 23:45 | Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $147.66 |
| 07-29 23:44 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $118.04 |
| 07-28 11:38 | Will Trump say "Putin" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.2999999938 | $24.20 |
| 07-28 11:34 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $9.78 |
| 07-28 11:33 | Will Trump say "Election" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.7301102543 | $29.53 |