oiboy69
0xcb712838492d467257d159a88dac554bf8f48dfe
- Realised P&L
- $544.49
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.67at 0.841Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?
- +$252.70at 0.814Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
- +$139.16at 0.682Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$89.98at 0.671Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
- +$35.49at 0.770NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:35 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $239.12 |
| 11-01 07:34 | EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $102.87 |
| 10-21 14:06 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0148249854 | $1.78 |
| 10-21 13:42 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $484.62 |
| 10-17 08:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $390.38 |
| 10-07 15:59 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $355.99 |
| 10-07 15:59 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $98.06 |
| 10-07 15:57 | US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $65.60 |
| 10-07 09:37 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $171.00 |
| 10-07 09:36 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $123.02 |
| 10-06 07:03 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $101.20 |
| 10-05 21:20 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.80 |
| 10-05 21:18 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 10-05 21:16 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 10-05 21:14 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $122.45 |