PolyBot

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Traders

oiboy69

0xcb712838492d467257d159a88dac554bf8f48dfe

Realised P&L
$544.49
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.9620.999$499.50+$18.50
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes0.6800.730$256.70+$17.58
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.9100.930$186.00+$4.00
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? · No0.8360.976$173.47+$24.79
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? · No0.8100.875$111.13+$8.26
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30? · Yes0.5990.740$94.22+$17.90
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? · Yes0.4400.545$56.13+$10.81
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? · No0.9150.981$9.81+$0.66
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0140.015$1.80+$0.15
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yes0.6250.000$0.00−$94.95
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$11.68
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:35EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.68$239.12
11-01 07:34EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.81$102.87
10-21 14:06Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0148249854$1.78
10-21 13:42Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?SELL0.82$484.62
10-17 08:05NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$390.38
10-07 15:59Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.985$355.99
10-07 15:59Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.986$98.06
10-07 15:57US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?BUY0.82$65.60
10-07 09:37Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.83$171.00
10-07 09:36Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.82$123.02
10-06 07:03Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?BUY0.92$101.20
10-05 21:20Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.8$200.80
10-05 21:18Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.79$23.70
10-05 21:16Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.79$23.70
10-05 21:14Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.79$122.45