PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GeWa2412

0xe673338f15f037dc5c97361735ddcaa89ac595cf

Realised P&L
$53.23
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$15.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$3.93−$1.07
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3600.215$2.99−$2.01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.250$2.68−$0.32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.017$1.48−$8.52
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.030$1.15−$3.85
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0550.015$1.13−$2.87
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.125$1.00−$1.00
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0780.025$0.63−$1.37
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2000.025$0.61−$4.39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2000.040$0.40−$1.60
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00−$15.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$5.00
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul · Alexander Bublik0.4200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 15:39Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.54$2.92
10-23 15:38Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.019$2.71
10-23 15:36Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0548109023$4.00
10-21 18:55Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-21 18:51Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999925$3.00
10-21 18:43Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.2632879128$15.00
10-21 18:42Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?SELL0.1238306042$10.97
09-24 19:14Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-24 19:13Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-04 17:10US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulBUY0.4199999272$3.00
09-04 17:03Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.35$14.78
08-19 20:37Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006999993$1.00
08-19 20:36Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
08-19 20:34Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
08-17 11:27Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0564642353$5.00