GeWa2412
0xe673338f15f037dc5c97361735ddcaa89ac595cf
- Realised P&L
- $53.23
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $15.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.52at 0.076Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$29.05at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.73at 0.059Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
- +$4.60at 0.250Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$4.02at 0.450Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 15:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.92 |
| 10-23 15:38 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.019 | $2.71 |
| 10-23 15:36 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0548109023 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 18:55 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:51 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 18:43 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.2632879128 | $15.00 |
| 10-21 18:42 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.1238306042 | $10.97 |
| 09-24 19:14 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:13 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 17:10 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 17:03 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.78 |
| 08-19 20:37 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 20:36 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 20:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 11:27 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0564642353 | $5.00 |