PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.012. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.009 to 0.033. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0227979
0.02350129
0.02450179
0.02940219
0.031146365
0.03950415
0.08060475
0.73920495
0.74040535
0.9908543
0.99710,73711,280
0.9981,03012,310

Spread0.020Mid0.012

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0022,2492,249
0.00120,01522,264

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9982,2492,249
0.99920,01522,264

Spread0.020Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9787979
0.97750129
0.97650179
0.97140219
0.969146365
0.96150415
0.92060475
0.26120495
0.26040535
0.0108543
0.00310,73711,280
0.0021,03012,310

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes600
POB1Yes148.13
Numitus1994Yes146
2B9SYes125.66
angb810Yes101.3
GuyFromTinderYes61.05
shoobadooba18Yes60
0x888888888Yes50
guge22Yes50
napamenYes50
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454Yes50
gugu13Yes50
WarriorHYes49
intelligence98Yes40
procrypterYes39.59
AJSVYes33.34
PPMTYes30
Antonio-1729Yes26
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
MidCtrlYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:52:46SELLYes0.00399$0.30
15:52:43SELLYes0.01273$0.88
15:52:43SELLYes0.01450$0.70
15:52:40SELLYes0.01530$0.45
15:52:39SELLYes0.01747$0.80
15:52:34BUYNo0.98299999933$2.68
15:52:34BUYNo0.9732695934747$726.72
08:56:33SELLYes0.02710$0.27
16:56:42SELLYes0.02940$1.16
03:50:06SELLYes0.01085120$1.30
02:28:10BUYNo0.97200$194.00
00:24:48SELLYes0.0411$0.44
00:09:43SELLYes0.0420$0.80
00:02:22BUYNo0.961$1.00
21:39:33SELLYes0.0530$1.50
15:16:16SELLYes0.11$0.10
15:16:16SELLYes0.120$2.00
15:16:15BUYNo0.8724993588897$782.41
02:16:34SELLNo0.860$0.35
17:21:48SELLNo0.860$0.12
17:08:42SELLNo0.860$0.40
03:26:43SELLNo0.860$0.34
13:17:39BUYNo0.8899999888$6.70
12:12:06BUYNo0.88999998627$5.81
12:12:06BUYNo0.88999999026$5.44