guge22
0x565696f11e34c119f06d840aedd8253245aedc08
- Realised P&L
- $-218.70
- Volume
- $56.3k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $98.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.60at 0.028Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?
- +$23.35at 0.033Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?
- +$18.27at 0.740Solana above $215 on January 24?
- +$10.80at 0.730Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$9.75at 0.885Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:11 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $17.99 |
| 09-17 05:11 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.92484 | $18.50 |
| 09-17 02:05 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 09-17 02:05 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 02:19 | Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 26? | SELL | 0.0091176471 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 02:18 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 00:47 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.949 | $47.45 |
| 09-16 00:47 | Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 26? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 09-15 11:32 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0302002 | $1.51 |
| 09-14 13:14 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 09-11 08:01 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | SELL | 0.01591 | $0.32 |
| 09-09 06:36 | Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31? | SELL | 0.00532 | $0.27 |
| 09-09 04:14 | Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.60 |
| 09-09 04:13 | Will LAPTOP launch on Base? | SELL | 0.0146 | $0.73 |
| 09-09 04:13 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.78 |