PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guge22

0x565696f11e34c119f06d840aedd8253245aedc08

Realised P&L
$-218.70
Volume
$56.3k
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$98.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9560.914$45.73$2.08
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes0.9360.629$31.48$15.32
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9100.875$17.50$0.70
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September? · Yes0.0320.035$1.75+$0.15
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0220.028$1.37+$0.27
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.0400.060$0.68+$0.23
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 26? · No0.0300.004$0.10$0.56
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on June 23? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.40
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 in September? · No0.0100.000$0.00$0.20
Will Trump say "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" during his rally with Darline Graham? · No0.0100.000$0.00$0.50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on July 29? · No0.0100.000$0.00$0.20
Will "Samsung" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 28? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.40
Will "Reverse Sweep" be said during the Valorant Masters London 2026 Grand Finals? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:11Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.9$17.99
09-17 05:11Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.92484$18.50
09-17 02:05Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.031$0.62
09-17 02:05Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.999$49.95
09-16 02:19Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 26?SELL0.0091176471$0.16
09-16 02:18Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?SELL0.9$18.00
09-16 00:47Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?SELL0.949$47.45
09-16 00:47Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 26?SELL0.03$0.33
09-15 11:32Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0302002$1.51
09-14 13:14Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26 and 28 million views on day 2?SELL0.012$0.24
09-11 08:01Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?SELL0.01591$0.32
09-09 06:36Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?SELL0.00532$0.27
09-09 04:14Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?SELL0.012$0.60
09-09 04:13Will LAPTOP launch on Base?SELL0.0146$0.73
09-09 04:13Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?SELL0.05$0.78