Antonio-1729
0x8dd550cb6894ccf9d1ca95c06829c7acdc1baab9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $444.4k
- Markets traded
- 7,470
- Open portfolio
- $121.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,470
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.113Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.218Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$999.01at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$933.36at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 05:58 | Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.574 | $14.35 |
| 09-11 05:58 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? | SELL | 0.0352108108 | $1.30 |
| 09-11 05:16 | Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.2471428571 | $8.65 |
| 09-11 04:36 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.50 |
| 09-11 04:17 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-11 03:46 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.97 |
| 09-11 03:18 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.16 |
| 09-11 00:32 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 09-11 00:04 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000? | SELL | 0.35 | $9.45 |
| 09-10 21:02 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.5345454545 | $23.52 |
| 09-10 19:40 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 09-10 19:05 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September? | SELL | 0.3428571429 | $24.00 |
| 09-10 18:50 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 09-10 18:45 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? | SELL | 0.3 | $7.80 |