gugu13
0xdd89ebe845d8828cf81b5a0f9e0b8aa6b0e34f5d
- Realised P&L
- $-261.43
- Volume
- $49.1k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $37.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.20at 0.782Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
- +$10.30at 0.013Will Eric Cole finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$5.53at 0.920Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$4.05at 0.930Will Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?
- +$3.58at 0.051Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:35 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 5? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.58 |
| 08-05 11:35 | Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.042 | $2.10 |
| 08-05 08:31 | Will CPRF win the next Saint Petersburg Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 08-05 08:28 | Will Craig Swallow be the MA-09 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 08-05 08:28 | Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.0214242 | $1.07 |
| 08-05 06:14 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-05 05:01 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-05 05:01 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.49 |
| 08-05 01:44 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.35 |
| 08-05 01:44 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.0316125 | $0.63 |
| 08-05 01:44 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.0116 | $0.58 |
| 08-05 01:43 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.9871792 | $49.36 |
| 08-05 01:43 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 08-04 13:12 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.52 |
| 08-04 13:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.70 |