PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.70. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.56. Range 0.56 to 0.90. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72197197
0.73720917
0.755922
0.762001,122
0.981241,246
0.9981,254

Spread0.03Mid0.70

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.698080
0.68160240
0.6740280
0.64100380
0.5950430
0.58135565
0.5630595
0.2640635
0.0231666
0.018674

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.318080
0.32160240
0.3340280
0.36100380
0.4150430
0.42135565
0.4430595
0.7440635
0.9831666
0.998674

Spread0.03Mid0.30

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28197197
0.27720917
0.255922
0.242001,122
0.021241,246
0.0181,254

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
title1Yes158.65
youtube-traderYes71.24
tradetosurvive1Yes62.96
AJSVYes28.3
Dr.PNLYes21.01
Mithrandir.Yes20.88
xixihaha009Yes19
spacexstarYes11
POB1Yes5
BodytobodyYes1.93
MGSIVYes1.23
HaradwaithNo100.87
doudoucNo100
doddo12No97.99
0x4629…f3b1No30
IUSEBOTNo30
pootytherewardfarmerNo21
gthdtrlij549y89No20
pmqianbaolaileNo1.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:00:57SELLYes0.721$14.53
21:01:49SELLYes0.7121$14.82
21:01:48SELLYes0.71642935389$6.54
21:01:48SELLYes0.7210$7.20
21:01:46SELLYes0.729$6.57
21:01:45SELLYes0.7210$7.20
21:01:45SELLYes0.7225$18.00
14:56:39BUYYes0.7515$11.25
14:46:52BUYYes0.7510$7.50
14:46:52BUYYes0.7510$7.50
14:38:03BUYYes0.759$6.85
14:35:40BUYYes0.7519$14.25
00:36:39SELLYes0.7521$15.75
00:36:36SELLYes0.7580$60.00
00:36:27BUYNo0.2420$4.80
00:36:27SELLYes0.76100$76.00
22:47:27SELLYes0.765$3.80
22:47:27SELLNo0.236$1.27
16:39:57SELLYes0.7521$15.75
11:58:13BUYNo0.2540$10.00
08:36:55SELLYes0.753$2.11
05:30:43BUYNo0.259999997121$5.40
05:30:40SELLYes0.7563$47.11
04:25:25BUYYes0.76999991237$5.53
04:24:40BUYNo0.259999991216$4.15