PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x74aac1ecdec8af51bbe77f8f1b2f6809ae5d2c3f

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
2,951
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded2,951
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000? · No0.8000.688$68.75−$11.25
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? · No0.7800.650$65.00−$13.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%? · No0.7000.635$63.50−$6.50
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? · Lockheed Martin0.7600.615$61.50−$14.50
Will C.J. Stroud have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6000.600$60.00+$0.00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000? · No0.7100.515$51.50−$19.50
Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election? · No0.5400.330$33.00−$21.00
Will the Republicans win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.4900.305$30.50−$18.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2900.261$26.05−$2.95
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? · No0.6500.630$23.13−$0.73
Will Alavés record 50 or more points in the 2026-27 LALIGA season? · Yes0.4900.215$21.50−$27.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2200.210$21.00−$1.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.2600.170$17.00−$9.00
Will Louisville have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.2000.170$17.00−$3.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2700.165$16.50−$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 21:32Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?SELL0.1$6.50
11-02 19:51Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 45%-50%?SELL0.08$2.16
11-02 19:16Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?SELL0.75$14.98
11-02 19:15Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?SELL0.75$15.00
11-02 17:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.13$1.07
11-02 16:21Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?SELL0.11$8.86
11-02 15:22Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?SELL0.11$11.00
11-02 14:52Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.17$2.66
11-02 12:28Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?SELL0.19$0.45
11-02 12:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?SELL0.19$18.55
11-02 12:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.11$7.48
11-02 11:59Will the Democrats win Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election?SELL0.36$7.24
11-02 11:39Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.2$5.69
11-02 11:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?SELL0.16$13.47
11-02 09:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?SELL0.22$0.34
Trader 0x74aa…2c3f · PolyBot Pro