MGSIV
0x10ff90d0c94c29fc30b25cb0a4061a896eb9de16
- Realised P&L
- $-32.79
- Volume
- $756.22
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $12.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.155Will the announcers say "Horrible" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$3.96at 0.208Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$1.64at 0.349Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will the announcers say "Rival" or "Rivalry" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:06 | Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 17:05 | Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:00 | Will Domino's say "Fantastic" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:00 | Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.527999831 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:50 | Will Constellation Brands say "Wine" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:28 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:32 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:31 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:16 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:15 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:14 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8523533523 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:13 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |