PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MGSIV

0x10ff90d0c94c29fc30b25cb0a4061a896eb9de16

Realised P&L
$-32.79
Volume
$756.22
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$12.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? · Yes0.6800.765$1.12+$0.12
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · Yes0.8100.877$1.08+$0.08
Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call? · Yes0.8700.870$1.00+$0.00
Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call? · Yes0.8200.810$0.99−$0.01
Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call? · Yes0.6800.670$0.99−$0.01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes0.6300.620$0.98−$0.02
US recession by end of 2027? · No0.7200.675$0.94−$0.06
Will Domino's say "Fantastic" during earnings call? · Yes0.6700.625$0.93−$0.07
Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? · Yes0.8300.745$0.90−$0.10
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? · Yes0.7200.598$0.83−$0.17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.5280.402$0.76−$0.24
Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting? · Yes0.8000.535$0.67−$0.33
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? · Yes0.1900.125$0.66−$0.34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.1600.105$0.66−$0.34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1500.018$0.12−$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 17:06Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-11 17:05Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-09 16:00Will Domino's say "Fantastic" during earnings call?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 16:00Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-06 00:08Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.527999831$1.00
10-03 16:50Will Constellation Brands say "Wine" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-01 15:28Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-29 00:32Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-29 00:31Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-24 23:58Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-24 18:16Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-24 18:15Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-24 18:14Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?BUY0.8523533523$1.00
09-24 18:14Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.7$1.00
09-24 18:13Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?BUY0.8099999352$1.00