Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.020 to 0.101. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	30	30
0.040	81	111
0.043	625	736
0.049	200	936
0.061	200	1,136
0.090	1,000	2,136
0.130	30	2,166
0.180	200	2,366
0.328	83	2,449
0.329	369	2,818
0.950	7	2,825
0.951	40	2,865

Spread0.018Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	40	40
0.020	357	397
0.019	259	656
0.010	1,476	2,132
0.007	28	2,160
0.006	65	2,225
0.005	313	2,538
0.004	15	2,553
0.003	40	2,593
0.002	1,186	3,779
0.001	4,540	8,319

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	40	40
0.980	357	397
0.981	259	656
0.990	1,476	2,132
0.993	28	2,160
0.994	65	2,225
0.995	313	2,538
0.996	15	2,553
0.997	40	2,593
0.998	1,186	3,779
0.999	4,540	8,319

Spread0.018Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	30	30
0.960	81	111
0.957	625	736
0.951	200	936
0.939	200	1,136
0.910	1,000	2,136
0.870	30	2,166
0.820	200	2,366
0.672	83	2,449
0.671	369	2,818
0.050	7	2,825
0.049	40	2,865

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
InterestingUser	Yes	407.39
MrYanDao	Yes	269
Dr.PNL	Yes	215.45
Bodytobody	Yes	188.93
doudouc	Yes	100
0xF0e02A54C235B27273FdC63FEf80224E1280016A-1777966205584	Yes	100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	80.77
0xbada…d874	Yes	71.77
AJSV	Yes	70
MFS-000	Yes	31.62
a5533	Yes	30
PPMT	Yes	29.98
0x8f83d9aeE0904Ee17A8a80857056dB3b8Cb888DD-1786436206033	Yes	22.23
gavinfunda	Yes	21.21
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862	Yes	20.06
LornaPredicts	Yes	20
ViscaElBarca	Yes	20
frontiertrade	Yes	17.77
bjprolo	Yes	8
cookedquail	No	1,476.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:51:36	BUY	No	0.979	90	$88.11
12:02:52	SELL	No	0.964	0	$0.24
18:18:28	SELL	Yes	0.04	11	$0.44
00:33:10	SELL	Yes	0.051	19	$0.97
19:43:16	BUY	Yes	0.05	32	$1.58
14:01:13	BUY	Yes	0.03	50	$1.50
09:20:49	SELL	Yes	0.0108524167	120	$1.30
15:53:27	BUY	No	0.982999998	1	$1.00
09:10:13	BUY	Yes	0.0604519377	388	$23.48
09:10:13	SELL	Yes	0.065	19	$1.24
08:53:54	SELL	Yes	0.022	40	$0.87
08:53:52	SELL	Yes	0.024	7	$0.17
02:37:10	SELL	No	0.931	2	$2.13
16:37:09	BUY	Yes	0.03	62	$1.86
16:28:25	BUY	Yes	0.06	59	$3.54
16:28:10	SELL	Yes	0.03	10	$0.30
16:28:09	SELL	Yes	0.04	10	$0.40
16:18:49	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
16:16:40	BUY	Yes	0.07	36	$2.52
16:16:24	BUY	Yes	0.07	36	$2.52
16:03:22	BUY	Yes	0.09	17	$1.53
16:01:12	BUY	Yes	0.1	40	$4.00
15:42:19	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
15:41:25	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
15:22:51	BUY	Yes	0.1348967177	59	$7.93