0x8f83d9aeE0904Ee17A8a80857056dB3b8Cb888DD-1786436206033
0x8f83d9aee0904ee17a8a80857056db3b8cb888dd
- Realised P&L
- $125.21
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 884
- Open portfolio
- $86.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded884
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.43at 0.089Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?
- +$95.47at 0.117Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?
- +$85.97at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?
- +$83.18at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?
- +$82.85at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:36 | Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $168.03 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0712072678 | $3.39 |
| 09-30 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:23 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 03:10 | Will "Digger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 03:08 | Will "Verity" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.32 | $0.21 |
| 09-30 02:36 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 21:32 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.179999999 | $3.76 |
| 09-28 19:10 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.61 |
| 09-28 19:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.963 | $3.27 |
| 09-28 19:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.10 |
| 09-28 19:09 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | SELL | 0.967 | $13.06 |
| 09-28 19:01 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.983 | $20.54 |
| 09-28 18:57 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.25 |
| 09-28 17:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |