PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8f83d9aeE0904Ee17A8a80857056dB3b8Cb888DD-1786436206033

0x8f83d9aee0904ee17a8a80857056db3b8cb888dd

Realised P&L
$125.21
Volume
$45.0k
Markets traded
884
Open portfolio
$86.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded884
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E41? · Yes0.1200.810$10.52+$8.96
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.255$7.65+$4.65
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.3850.973$7.58+$4.58
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.5900.790$6.71+$1.70
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.265$6.68+$3.68
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes0.5400.716$6.63+$1.63
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by September 30? · No0.1200.735$5.57+$4.66
Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5400.440$4.07−$0.93
Will "Digger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8300.984$3.55+$0.55
Will "Digger" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.9370.998$3.19+$0.19
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes0.9300.950$3.06+$0.06
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.2400.135$2.81−$2.19
Will "Digger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.3900.250$2.56−$1.44
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · White Dragons0.4200.495$2.36+$0.36
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $10.75B by September 30? · Yes0.5200.245$2.36−$2.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 09:36Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $168.03 on September 30?BUY0.0712072678$3.39
09-30 08:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 30?BUY0.1399999963$3.00
09-30 07:23Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 30?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
09-30 04:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.16$3.00
09-30 03:10Will "Digger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.3899999717$4.00
09-30 03:08Will "Verity" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.32$0.21
09-30 02:36Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?BUY0.93$3.00
09-28 21:32Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.179999999$3.76
09-28 19:10Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?SELL0.99$7.61
09-28 19:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.963$3.27
09-28 19:09Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29?SELL0.93$3.10
09-28 19:09Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?SELL0.967$13.06
09-28 19:01Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?SELL0.983$20.54
09-28 18:57Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?SELL0.998$30.25
09-28 17:03Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29?BUY0.9$3.00