PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MFS-000

0x50733d0627e4763d7d7e81a69abc345edf6416a7

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$439.1k
Markets traded
412
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded412
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8880.982$1.0k+$98.84
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.7850.761$411.97$12.59
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7490.655$172.67$24.87
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6600.685$171.25+$6.25
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes0.2550.289$130.11+$15.52
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes0.3790.362$84.54$3.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1800.125$34.72$15.28
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2760.096$24.96$46.84
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5940.105$16.81$78.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0240.013$5.16$3.84
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.0220.005$3.01$10.49
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3220.025$1.63$19.35
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? · Yes0.0850.014$1.16$5.88
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0140.003$0.48$2.20
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$0.40$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 19:11Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.66$174.12
07-31 19:11Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.66$66.00
07-31 19:10Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.68$59.84
07-31 19:10Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.68$115.60
07-31 19:09Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.69$31.05
07-31 19:02Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.71$37.86
07-31 18:47Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.7887734787$140.00
07-31 18:46Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?SELL0.9458768456$110.83
07-31 18:46Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.6833482873$200.00
07-31 18:30Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.67$167.49
07-31 18:24Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?BUY0.97$30.34
07-31 18:23Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?BUY0.9234542314$53.47
07-31 18:23Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?BUY0.91$31.85
07-31 18:18Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?BUY0.86$33.39
07-31 02:26Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.67$46.90