cookedquail
0xff06e8c95b984f236a08be2c4b9909be306c2f60
- Realised P&L
- $26.3k
- Volume
- $356.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $23.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.388Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.0860 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.378Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.247Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$1.3kat 0.740Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 16:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.44 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.09823848 | $245.60 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1383177034 | $665.49 |
| 09-15 10:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $129.60 |
| 09-15 09:51 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? | BUY | 0.1164171919 | $83.67 |
| 09-10 21:20 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $175.86 |
| 09-10 15:08 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $269.21 |
| 09-09 15:30 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September? | BUY | 0.87 | $149.03 |
| 09-09 15:30 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.15 |
| 09-09 15:21 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September? | BUY | 0.81 | $473.85 |
| 09-09 15:20 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September? | BUY | 0.7624314157 | $1.2k |
| 09-09 15:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $276.28 |
| 09-09 15:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.246641799 | $116.04 |
| 09-09 14:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $156.00 |