cookedquail
0xff06e8c95b984f236a08be2c4b9909be306c2f60
- Realised P&L
- $25.8k
- Volume
- $422.3k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $17.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.388Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.0860 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.378Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.691Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?
- +$1.4kat 0.476Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:06 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5655866598 | $981.92 |
| 10-29 09:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.976 | $390.41 |
| 10-29 09:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.97784244 | $977.84 |
| 10-26 10:15 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.95 | $285.00 |
| 10-26 10:13 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $52.50 |
| 10-26 10:12 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | SELL | 0.1030755818 | $147.19 |
| 10-23 14:16 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $71.10 |
| 10-23 14:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.2k |
| 10-18 17:08 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.49 |
| 10-18 17:04 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | BUY | 0.2915967361 | $347.00 |
| 10-18 17:03 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | BUY | 0.1652752294 | $36.03 |
| 10-10 12:45 | Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 10-10 12:44 | Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $14.19 |
| 10-10 12:43 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $197.47 |
| 10-10 12:42 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $169.22 |