PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.029 over the period, from 0.053. Range 0.023 to 0.053. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.028352352
0.029170522
0.04257579
0.047214793
0.05050843
0.0755001,343
0.2001001,443
0.400201,463
0.557111,474
0.558801,554
0.95491,563
0.95591,572

Spread0.008Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.020171171
0.01911182
0.01567249
0.014240489
0.006100589
0.0038001,389
0.0021,4372,826
0.0018,79111,617

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.980171171
0.98111182
0.98567249
0.986240489
0.994100589
0.9978001,389
0.9981,4372,826
0.9998,79111,617

Spread0.008Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.972352352
0.971170522
0.95857579
0.953214793
0.95050843
0.9255001,343
0.8001001,443
0.600201,463
0.443111,474
0.442801,554
0.04691,563
0.04591,572

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xee67…67a6Yes352
Dr.PNLYes331.3
GuyFromTinderYes277.52
rocky42014Yes244.76
vivi4024Yes205.96
Leclerc04Yes125
0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048Yes119
tradetosurvive1Yes117.83
0xDC4671C5513C93774714cF00Be81093991904Fb8-1760509798033Yes110
Btwang666Yes102.44
sddx4Yes100
Ss00xYes88.7
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes80
ng6000Yes70
the-260-ChallengeYes65
Bsau4Yes52.54
AJSVYes51.24
smarterstratYes50
gavinfundaYes50
ScottsRoadYes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:21:31SELLYes0.0274$1.48
14:38:31SELLNo0.9850$48.99
21:52:22SELLYes0.0195$0.10
14:40:16SELLYes0.01950$0.95
13:24:52SELLYes0.01932650$0.97
08:35:40SELLYes0.01750$0.85
08:27:19SELLYes0.01699$1.58
08:27:18SELLYes0.01650$0.80
08:27:13SELLYes0.016100$1.60
08:27:09SELLYes0.016100$1.60
08:27:06SELLYes0.0169450$0.85
08:20:03SELLYes0.01738$0.65
08:19:57SELLYes0.01750$0.85
08:19:43SELLYes0.01750$0.85
08:19:39SELLYes0.03162$4.86
08:19:31SELLYes0.0350$1.50
08:19:30SELLYes0.03350$1.65
08:19:24SELLYes0.04250$2.10
08:19:21SELLYes0.04950$2.45
08:19:18SELLYes0.030850$1.54
08:19:18SELLYes0.0350$1.50
08:19:18SELLYes0.0428$0.34
08:19:18SELLYes0.0400850$2.00
08:19:18SELLYes0.04250$2.10
08:19:16SELLYes0.04250$2.10