PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sddx4

0xf51c51c7f5ecf091c71c3a81082912b0bd77f9f3

Realised P&L
$16.22
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$130.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9600.957$35.40$0.13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9730.945$30.22$0.91
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9820.975$29.23$0.23
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9850.971$24.26$0.36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9330.929$7.45$0.03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1900.024$2.40$16.60
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0320.005$2.00$10.79
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.6200.000$0.00$34.10
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 03:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?SELL0.81$4.21
09-06 02:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.94$20.68
08-30 09:37Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.978$34.23
08-22 02:44Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.034$1.36
08-18 03:23Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.981$35.32
08-08 06:33Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.973$31.14
08-04 06:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?BUY0.989$22.25
07-31 14:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.971$31.07
07-24 05:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.88$17.60
07-24 05:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?SELL0.826$9.90
07-24 05:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?SELL0.827$22.30
06-17 04:46US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.001$1.50
06-16 04:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.79$33.18
06-09 07:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9?BUY0.984$19.68
05-26 06:00Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.714$30.87