PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ScottsRoad

0xcceb22d524e186153cffe79f13c0aeb75889f030

Realised P&L
$-36.3k
Volume
$2.37M
Markets traded
12,594
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,594
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes0.6700.575$115.00$19.00
Will Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.8600.999$79.88+$11.08
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? · Yes0.8100.970$77.56+$12.76
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.964$77.08+$6.68
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · No0.9400.946$75.64+$0.44
Will National Bank be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League? · No0.9300.910$72.80$1.60
Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · No0.8940.900$72.00+$0.48
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $140B by September 30? · No0.9000.865$69.20$2.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · No0.9200.926$64.86+$0.46
Will Lens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · No0.9200.910$63.70$0.70
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No0.9300.904$63.28$1.82
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027? · No0.9200.895$61.76$1.73
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? · No0.8000.770$61.60$2.40
Will Catherine O'Hara rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? · No0.9200.735$58.80$14.80
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.8900.999$56.91+$6.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:12Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.18$7.81
09-17 05:02Saturn FDV above $400M one day after launchSELL0.83$66.40
09-17 04:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.84$16.80
09-17 03:49Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?SELL0.7966701396$38.23
09-17 03:04Will Florida have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.74$12.54
09-17 02:55Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?SELL0.26$1.61
09-17 02:55Will De'Von Achane finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?SELL0.0431066667$0.65
09-17 02:55Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?SELL0.14$11.20
09-17 02:55Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?SELL0.38$7.60
09-17 02:45Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$1.12
09-17 02:18Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.34$27.20
09-17 02:09Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?SELL0.843$16.86
09-17 01:41Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.67$13.40
09-17 01:32California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionSELL0.5590907238$27.42
09-17 01:32Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 30% or more?SELL0.11$0.94