ScottsRoad
0xcceb22d524e186153cffe79f13c0aeb75889f030
- Realised P&L
- $-36.3k
- Volume
- $2.37M
- Markets traded
- 12,594
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,594
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.80at 0.190Will Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) win the most gubernatorial elections in Bolivia in 2026?
- +$61.95at 0.115Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?
- +$60.40at 0.160Will Microsoft dip to $428 in January?
- +$59.44at 0.230Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$58.20at 0.030Will "Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:12 | Will TownSquare launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.81 |
| 09-17 05:02 | Saturn FDV above $400M one day after launch | SELL | 0.83 | $66.40 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-17 03:49 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.7966701396 | $38.23 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will Florida have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.74 | $12.54 |
| 09-17 02:55 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.61 |
| 09-17 02:55 | Will De'Von Achane finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | SELL | 0.0431066667 | $0.65 |
| 09-17 02:55 | Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.14 | $11.20 |
| 09-17 02:55 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 09-17 02:45 | Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.12 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $27.20 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? | SELL | 0.843 | $16.86 |
| 09-17 01:41 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 09-17 01:32 | California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition | SELL | 0.5590907238 | $27.42 |
| 09-17 01:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.94 |