0xDC4671C5513C93774714cF00Be81093991904Fb8-1760509798033
0xdc4671c5513c93774714cf00be81093991904fb8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $107.9k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $763.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.74at 0.880Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
- +$291.00at 0.757US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$276.69at 0.305Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$257.60at 0.485Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$205.93at 0.813Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 03:38 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.45 |
| 08-05 09:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $60.70 |
| 08-05 09:06 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.916 | $45.80 |
| 07-31 16:08 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $42.75 |
| 07-29 18:17 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 07-29 18:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.79 |
| 07-29 18:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $399.80 |
| 07-29 18:12 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 07-29 15:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $28.69 |
| 07-29 14:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.753 | $58.73 |
| 07-29 14:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.752 | $51.29 |
| 07-29 14:04 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 07-29 14:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.764 | $191.00 |
| 07-29 13:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.763 | $123.60 |
| 07-29 13:54 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.766 | $383.00 |